Tag: preview

Match Day 5 Preview: Montedio Yamagata vs FCR

Match Day Info: 03/24/2019 (H) Montedio Yamagata vs FCR (A) at the ND Soft Stadium (Tendo, Yamagata Prefecture) Kickoff at 1400

Well here we are folks, FC Ryukyu on the road in the Yamagata prefecture chasing history.  This will be a tough test for FCR this week as they face a very good squad in Montedio and have to do so in less than optimal conditions.

Weather Forecast: The forecast calls for snow earlier in the day followed by 40-degree temperatures with a 13 mph wind at kickoff. The weather will get colder throughout the game and there is a 40% chance of snow, so if you’re planning on attending, bundle up with warm clothes.

For those of you that don’t know, FCR is on the verge of completing an historic first for the J League. FCR would be the first team ever to win 5 consecutive matches after being promoted. Teams that have come close to this record, 4 wins in a row, have also gone on to be promoted to the next tier in Japanese football in a short time. However, this Yamagata squad will present a very difficult challenge to FCR this week and when you factor in very cold conditions on the road, FCR has a large number of obstacles to overcome.

Yamagata Montedio: 5th in J2 W3D0L1; Recent Form: LWWW. Formation: 3-4-2-1.

The start of the season saw Montedio play their first 3 matches on the road. They lost their opening match to FC Gifu 2-0 and then have gone on to win all three of their matches and shutting out their opponents each time in those games. The past few weeks have seen Yamagata severely limit the opportunities of their opponent and that is worrying trend for an FCR side that has conceded a majority of possession to their opponents the past few weeks.

Against Gifu they almost jumped out to an early lead but were unlucky when they hit the post. Early in the second half the Gifu GK made a fine save when he was called into action by a well taken shot from #4 Kai Miki. Montedio made two costly mistakes shortly thereafter when they were playing it out from the back as well as losing possession in their own half that resulted in two goals for FC Gifu.

Yamagata was able to convert two set pieces for goals on the road against Yokohama FC on a day in which it seemed, at least from some highlights, that Yokohama had a majority of the possession and chances.  However, two well placed set pieces by #4 Miki found #11 Sakano resulting in two goals. The first took a deflection off the Yokohama defender but the second was a very clean header in the box.

Montedio’s match against Machida Zelvia was their third consecutive match away from home. Side note, I have enjoyed watching the promoted teams of Zweigen Kanazawa, Renofa Yamaguchi, Machida Zelvia, Oita Trinita and Tochigi throughout the years as promoted J3 clubs, but that discussion is for a later time.  Yamagata almost got on the scoreboard inside the first 2 minutes when #4 Miki once again delivered a dangerous ball into the box that #13 Shuhei Otsuki steered just wide of the net. A breakdown at the back by Machida, followed by yet another dangerous cross by #4 Miki, resulted in the first goal by #6 Takumi Yamada in the 20th minute.  Early in the second half, Yamagata almost scored from a corner and should’ve been awarded a PK for the defenders use of his hand and arm while on the touchline. Montedio’s second goal came off of a nice little play where #14 Takuya Honda was able to control a cross with two little flicks of his right boot, followed by #6 Tatsuhiro Sakamato running past the sleeping Zelvia defenders and then slipping it past the GK ,who was probably expecting his defenders to deal with that softly hit ball in the box. Yamagata’s third and final goal, unsurprisingly, came from a corner kick delivered by #4 Miki that found #9 Jefferson Baiano at the edge of the 6-yard box after a deflection. Baiano then delivered a very powerful header past the keeper.

Montedio finally had their first home game of the season against Omiya Ardija on match day 4. Yamagata once again found themselves in a position to take an early lead when #9 Baiano’s hold up play resulted in #10 Haruya Ide taking a very nice shot in which the Omiya GK had to make a quality save. The only goal of the game came from a PK when #9 Baiano overpowered the Omiya defenders and was dragged down inside the box with the ball. He converted the PK despite the Omiya GK getting his hands on it as it squeezed underneath him into the net. Omiya nearly tied the game during extra time in the first half but Yamagata were saved when the Ardija FW hit the post after rounding the keeper on a deflection. Omiya had two more chances on net late but it was the fine save by #21 Masatoshi Kushibiki off an Omiya header that secured the victory for Yamagata.

The worrying trend, at least from my vantage point, is that Yamagata only allows a few opportunities for their opponent to strike. FC Gifu was able to convert cheap giveaways into goals but Yokohoma FC were very wasteful with their opportunities considering they had the most chances of any of the teams I watched vs Yamagata. Machida Zelvia’s attack went missing for long periods of time and simply fell asleep the remainder of the match. Omiya had 3, maybe 3.5 chances but only really tested the keeper twice.

Players to Watch from Montedio Yamagata: #4 MF Kai Miki: Has a very nice shot but most importantly, he is top quality on set pieces. He delivers very nice, and very dangerous, set pieces and corners.  #11 FW Toyofumi Sakano, scored both of Yamagata’s goals against Yokohama from set pieces provided by Miki.  #9 Jefferson Baiano: Powerful FW that has scored in consecutive matches.

FC Ryukyu: 1st Place in J2; W4L0D0. Recent Form: WWWW. Formation 4-2-3-1.

The local lads are riding high and carrying some serious momentum into their 5th match of the season. FCR’s most recent victory saw them having to dig out a hard earned three points from a tough Tokushima Vortis side at home. Every week of the J2 season presents a new challenge to FCR but their early string of victories, and the manner in which they won them, has to be instilling a sense of confidence so desperately required for newly promoted sides.

FCR welcomed back both Masutani and Tomidokoro to the starting lineup last week and it was great to see them out there in the Bengara Red and Gold. Both looked a little rusty from their time away and it’s great they got that out of their system heading into a tough match up this week. I haven’t received any updates as to the status of Uejo after he was subbed off early in the second half against Tokushima from what looked to be a foot injury stemming from a scuffed shot.

Keys to FCR Victory: Really only two things can be said: 1.) FCR must maximize the limited opportunities Yamagata allows and 2.), FCR cannot not give up too many set pieces and corners. Unfortunately, FC Ryukyu’s’ style of play naturally tends to invite pressure by giving up set pieces and corners at the rapid rate. For those of us that have been following FCR all year it is evident that set pieces have been our Achilles heel. #4 Miki from Yamagata is lethal from set pieces and corners and I fear that when you combine #9 Baiano’s power in the box, it may be too much for FCR to handle.

Maybe the key to unlocking Yamagata should be changing the FCR lineup slightly to a 4-3-2-1 formation whereas FCR starts Fukui and Okazaki at center back so we have height, speed and power to deal with Yamagata’s height and power, and then FCR inserts another CDMF that can stop attacks as well as begin counter attacks. I doubt this will happen but will check the starting lineups, like all of you, at about 40 minutes prior to kick off to see how FCR is set up.  

If there is a slight weakness to the Yamagata Side it may be their central defenders because it seems that the chances most sides got against Yamagata came from that area. This means #9 Suzuki must make hard runs against these two and then ask very tough questions of the Montedio goal keeper with well-aimed shots on net. The Yamagata GK hasn’t been asked to do much the past couple of weeks so FCR must be surgical when in the Montedio box. We have scored the most goals so far in J2 and if FCR hope to achieve a favorable result against Yamagata on the road, this trend will certainly need to continue.

Game Prediction: As evidenced by my last few entries I am not great at game predictions. As was the case for the last two matches, FCR has surprised me along with their opponents. With that in mind, I offer the following tiers of results for this match up.

Tier 4 Catastrophic Failure: FCR is absolutely demolished on the road from set pieces and the goal margin is greater than 2 in favor of Yamagata.

Tier 3 Respectable Result: FCR loses the match by only 1 goal. This could come in any form and would demonstrate resolve on the part of FCR as well as adding to their steep learning curve of the J2.

Tier 2 Favorable Outcome: FCR draws this match with any score line. Positive points on the road in a tough setting against a tough team is always great. Possibly sets up another historic moment for FCR the following week.

Tier 1 Historic Moment: FCR wins and sets a new J League record, massive for the club and community of Okinawa, enough said.

That’s it for Match Day 5. Come on BOYS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Match Day 4 Preview: FCR vs Tokushima Vortis

Match Day Info: 03/16/2019 (H) FCR vs Tokushima Vortis (A) at the Tapic Stadium (Okinawa Comprehensive Park) Kickoff at 1800.

Welcome everybody to the Match Day 4 preview. This week we see FCR taking on Tokusima Vortis at home. FCR is riding high with a 3-game winning streak while Tokushima is reeling from a recent loss at home to Omiya.

Weather Forecast: One word, Perfect! Kickoff will see temperatures around 64 degrees with a slight Northeast wind between 8-10 miles per hour for most of the match and no rain in the forecast. Temperatures will stay in the mid 60’s all game so a light jacket is probably all you need.

Tokushima Vortis: 14th in J2 W1D0L2, Current Form LWL

Typical Set Up: Depends on where you do your research. On the JLeague website, it lists them as always setting up in a 3-5-1 but on the DAZN broadcast it has fluctuated every week this season; Started 4-1-2-3, then 3-4-2-1 and the last match was more of a 4-5-1.

Tokushima seems to be searching for the right combination at the back. They switched goal keepers after the first match, and rightfully so, as his poor play directly contributed to 3 of Kagoshima’s goals. Also, against Kagoshima, they were very disorganized at the back. Despite erasing both of Kagoshima’s leads in the game, the Tokushima defense let them down once again for a late winner.

Against Gifu in their second match they were much better in the attack but had two horrible giveaways in their own box from free kicks that almost resulted in Gifu scoring. #13 Kiyotake made an acrobatic kick in the last minute of extra time, on what was a very chaotic play, to give Tokushima their first victory.

Tokushima once again started out fast against Omiya but they were unable to score. They asked some questions of the Omiya keeper early on but ultimately it was a very nice take by Babunski from Omiya that handed Vortis their second loss of the season.

Players to Watch: #13 MF Koki Kiyotake. He’s their leading goal scorer and has a very quick powerful shot from distance. He needs to be marked and dealt with when roaming the MF as he’s not afraid to shoot from distance. #3CB Jordy Buijs. He’s not on the list because of his superb defensive skills, but because of his offensive skill. He won a ball against Kagoshima at the center circle, carried it all the way to nearly the top of the box; and I guess Kagoshima assumed he wouldn’t shoot but he unleashed a tremendous shout with pace, accuracy and a curl that beat the keeper. So FCR shouldn’t be encouraging him to take any shots is what I am saying.

FC Ryukyu: 1st in J2 W3D0L0, Current Form WWW, typical formation 4-2-3-1

FCR is bringing some serious momentum into this match after taking maximum points from all 3 games this season. They have displayed the ability to win at home despite the fact that we didn’t have a majority of the possession as well as the ability to win big on the road in a tough atmosphere.

Similar to Tokushima attempting to get the right combination at the back, FCR has been forced to change their lineups each of the past 2 matches. This is mostly due to injures to Tomidokoro and Masutani but now they will face an uphill battle to replace one of the top goal scorers from J3 last season and a player I was very excited to watch develop. Unfortunately, FCR has sold (assuming that’s the case but I never see anything on JLeague transfers) Kazaki Nakagawa to the Yokohama F Marinos. He will be sorely missed and I wish him all the best but that begs the question, who will take his place as the attacking central midfielder?

My suggestion would be to slide Tanaka into the CAM role and put #13 Kawai into the Left Mid Field position. We saw what Kawai did late on vs Ehime FC last week and I believe his speed could cause real trouble for Tokushima at the back. Tanaka is an excellent service provider for through balls and passes and he’s probably the best player to take over that role until Tomidokoro returns.

With that in mind we’d still assume to see Tanaka flanked by #14 Uejo as the Right Mid Field with the leading J2 League Goal scorer, #9 Suzuki, up front. That would leave #20 Uesato and #6 Kazama as our two holding Central Defensive Mid Fielder. At the back, barring any injuries, is #3 Nishioka, #4 Okazaki, #5 Tokumoto and #33 Fukui. This line was solid last week and I hope that continues because it is so vital to have a cohesive unit back there that is just stopping all attacks and clearing the danger away from goal.

Danny Carvajal will once again man the posts for FCR and what an outstanding signing he has been. The clean sheet last week was amazing and the man continually puts himself in the right place at the right time to stop the shots. We’ll once again require his strong performance to bring home the three points.  

Keys to the Match: 1. Weather the early attacking storm from Tokushima. They will likely start fast and create a few chances within the first 20 minutes of the match.

2. Close down their attacking Mid Fielders when they have the ball outside the top of the box. The Tokushima MFs are not afraid to shoot from distance or outside the box. FCR can not allow them space even 30 yards out as they have no fear striking from that distance or greater distances. I believe this is due to the fact that Vortis hasn’t created a lot of chances, nor provides any good crosses or service, to their strikers.

3. Attack from our Left side, the Vortis Right side on Defense. This is a weak spot for Vortis and FCR should do everything they can to exploit them out there. Use Kawai’s speed and get behind the Vortis defense. While they scramble to deal with that pressure, its most likely that an FCR player will be unmarked in the box and get a free shot on net.

4. Pressure the back line of Vortis and take lots of shots. Vortis is usually disorganized at the back and has made several lineup changes meaning, the players are still getting to learn to play as a unit. Applying pressure from Free Kicks or when Vortis tries to play out from the back may see FCR get a cheap takeaway in the Vortis end that they can convert into a goal or two. While the Goal Keeping play has improved the last two matches, the Vortis keeper can be beat rather easily so long as we keep the shots at the posts and not down the middle.

FCR should just continue to attack, attack and attack the Vortis defense and GK. If Uejo, Kawai and Suzuki can find some space in the Vortis end with Tanaka unlocking the defense to set them on the way to goal, then FCR should easily beat Tokushima at home.

Game Prediction: Goals, hopefully more for FCR than Vortis. See you at the match in Section A with the big England Flag, you can’t miss me!