Intro
Ryukyu have a huge test this week as they welcome in #3 Kyoto Sanga FC. Ryukyu are fresh off their biggest win of the season where they defeated SC Sagamihara on Match Day 11. Kyoto won their sixth game in a row last round by defeating Ehime FC 3-2 and look as dangerous as everyone expected them to be this year. This 6 pointer is a true test where an unstoppable force meets an immovable object. So get ready.
- Weather Forecast & Match Information
- Previous Match Highlights
- Team Previews
- FC Ryukyu
- Kyoto Sanga FC
- Keys to Victory
- Prediction
- Round 12 in J2
- Conclusion
1. Weather Forecast and Match Day Information from FC Ryukyu
Thunderstorms and rain. Looking at a possible weather delay during the match.
No visiting fans allowed to attend this game but I would suspect some Kyoto fans have traveled to Okinawa for Golden week and may attend this match in “plain clothes.”
Click>>> Match Day Information from FC Ryukyu
2. Previous Match Highlights
3. Team Previews
FC Ryukyu: Ryukyu were able to get on track offensively versus Sagamihara as they shipped 5 goals past the hosts on Saturday. It was a good performance in front of this tough matchup with Kyoto as our opponent this week is firing on all cylinders. The lone goal that Ryukyu did surrender on Saturday was a phenomenally taken overhead kick that no Ryukyu fan can be upset about losing out on a clean sheet.
But Ryukyu will need to call on the defense that has limited their opponents to six clean sheets and only one game this season with multiple goals conceded if they wish to net any points on Wednesday. Taguchi is tied for the overall league lead in clean sheets (6) but his counterpart this week, Tomoya Wakahara, ranks just behind him with 5. Another big test will be how both Okazaki and Chinen attempt to stop Peter Utaka, 5 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games, and Jordy Buijs, 3 goals in his last 4 games, as Ryukyu have not faced a high scoring side this season outside of Jubilo Iwata on match day one.
One name that was left off the scorecard this past round was Takuma Abe. It has now been six games and well over a month since Abe last scored. And Ryukyu really need a player of his quality to bust out in a big way this week. Ren Ikeda is Ryukyu’s leading scorer this season with 5 goals but it has been the play of both Keita Tanaka (2 goals & 6 assists) as well as Koya Kazama (5 assists) that have propelled this side forward. Both Tanaka and Koya are inside the top 3 for all of J2 in assists with Tanaka, as the lone defender, ranking inside the top 5 for total points.
Ryukyu opted to not rotate any of their players this past round, and though they weren’t required to over exert themselves at Sagamihara, I am slightly concerned about this sides ability to recover in time for what will be a more spirited match with far more running to be expected. But, as we’ve seen time and time again this year, Ryukyu have a way of surprising us in some unexpected ways. Let’s hope that trend continues – in a positive way – this round.
Kyoto Sanga FC: Creative and relentless. That is the best way to describe Kyoto. They are so good in the attack, severely punish sides whenever their opponent makes a mistake and can create chances on set pieces with their movement in and out of the formation. Utaka may be the leading scorer, but Kyoto have so many attacking options that solely focusing on stopping him allows others to take advantage of the space vacated by defenders tracking the Sanga talisman.
Like Ryukyu, Kyoto’s fullbacks, Takahiro Iida and Takuya Ogiwara, are heavily involved in Kyoto’s set up play and then teams still have to contend with attacker Temma Matsuda and defender Jordy Buijs. A fair amount of Kyoto’s goals from set pieces were ones where the initial cross finds a streaking Kyoto player in acres of space with plenty of time to pick his spot.
As noted earlier, Kyoto are on a seven game winning streak, haven’t lost a match since round five, and conceded multiple goals in a game only twice this season. The most recent being the match at home to Ehime FC this past weekend. In their last five games Kyoto have defeated FC Machida Zelvia, Giravanz Kitakyushu, Tokyo Verdy, Renofa Yamaguchi FC and Ehime FC. They kept a clean sheet in 3 of those games and demolished Kitakyushu 6-1.
Kyoto are the second highest scoring team in J2 and have only conceded 3 more goals that Ryukyu this year. And after a rocky start to the season where Kyoto suffered two losses and a draw inside the opening five fixtures, Gwi-Jae Jo has these boys humming.
4. Keys to Victory for FC Ryukyu
The Scale: 5- An almost certainty it will occur 4-Fairly-Certain it will happen 3-Somewhat Certain it could happen 2-Very Unlikely that it happens 1- Requires a Miracle for it to happen
1. Bend, don’t break on defense. Likelihood 3. There is little doubt that Ryukyu will be under some serious pressure on Wednesday but they have played similar opponents well when facing long odds. Ryukyu need to be clinical when playing out from the back as Kyoto punish their opponents on costly turnovers. Defense has got us to this point, and we will need more of it this match.
2. Win the individual battles within the game. Likelihood 3. Ryukyu cannot afford to remain fixated on Utaka all match as the remaining Kyoto players will tear us apart. That means those players not directly engaged with Utaka must maintain their defensive shape in order to frustrate the Kyoto attack. With that said, Ryukyu cannot give Utaka all the time and space he wants as he is very adept at finishing from all over the pitch as well as setting up his compatriots. Ryukyu will also need to win those battles on set pieces as Kyoto has created a tough situation for their opponents these days as teams don’t know whether to expect a direct cross into the set piece formation or a runner leaving the defensive line to receive a more direct pass. Man marking in these situations will be key.
3. We need a big performance out of Abe, Koya and Tanaka. Likelihood 4. Tanaka is in fine form these days and we need both him and Koya to set Abe loose in the box. While Kyoto are a handful in the attack, sometimes they throw everything into the attack and can be hit on the break. Quality runs in and around the box are going to be needed from the Ryukyu attackers and the set-up men need to pick their spots with lethal accuracy.
5. Prediction
FC Ryukyu own a 2-1 record against top six sides to date with Kyoto coming in at 1-1 against those same opponents. These sides are nearly even in every stat category and I for one would love to see this one end in a draw. I will predict that this one ends in a low scoring 1-1 draw. Season Record 5-2-4.
6. Round 12 in J2
Ryukyu versus Kyoto is the big match this round with (1) Albirex Niigata and (4) Jubilo Iwata each having favorable draws to keep the pressure on the those teams in the top 4. There are three other games with teams next to, or close, to each other inside the top half of the table with positional implications: (9) Fagiano Okayama hosting (6) FC Machida Zelvia; (7) Zweigen Kanazawa hosting (8) Mito Hollyhock; and (11) V-Varen Nagasaki welcoming in (10) Blaublitz Akita.
There will be no J2 game in the midweek as the J-League International YouTube channel will broadcast a Levain Cup match. However, Zweigen Kanazawa gets two games this month.
7. Conclusion
This is a big month for the top three sides as all of them play the other two top teams twice. The team that comes out on top of these fixtures at the end of the month stands to put some serious distance between themselves and the other challengers. The time is now for Ryukyu to make a serious push for promotion.
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