Intro
Should I start with something motivating? Something inspiring and uplifting to raise our spirits? Or, should we just simply get down to business?
Weather Forecast
REVIEW OF MATCH DAY 21 7/6/2019: FC RYUKYU 3-0 TOCHIGI SC
FC Ryukyu were seeking t end their 3 game losing streak at home and did so with a 3-0 victory over Tochigi SC. Goals from Koji Suzuki, Nihioka and Ochi gave us all 3 points and at the time, at least lessened the goals scored/conceded differential for the team. That has since become a moot point as Ryukyu have conceded the most goals all season in J2 but do not have the worst differential (21). That honor currently belongs to Kagoshima United FC with a -30 this year.
Tochigi SC
1-2-2 during their last 5 games. An even 7/7 split for goals scored and conceded during that span. The 7 goals scored represent roughly ¼ of all the goals scored by Tochigi SC this season.
It would be foolish to assume that FC Ryukyu are simply going to walk in to Tochigi, kick the doors down, and bring home all 3 points. Tochigi SC, like an enemy without an avenue of escape, are a cornered animal prepared to fight to the death. This is a very dangerous prospect for any team that faces a side with a zero-sum outlook.
Against the sides seeking to avoid relegation, Tochigi went 1W2L with an even 5 goals scored and 5 goals conceded. One would then assume that against much better clubs, Vortis and Kyoto, Tochigi were sure to fail. Not the case, in fact, Tochigi rose to the occasion and drew with both Kyoto and Vortis.
Tochigi, similar to may teams at the bottom of J2, offer the same strengths and weaknesses of the clubs around them in the table. Here are the facts: The defense and Goal Keeper can be beat, the offense can produce nothing, and opponents can take home all 3 points when visiting Tochigi. Question is, can FC Ryukyu do the impossible and win 2 in a row on the road?
FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu followed up an impressive run of 5 games unbeaten- one of those being only their 2nd road win all season – with a less than spectacular 5-1 drubbing at home against Tokyo Verdy. Ryukyu have played some rather unspectacular games this season but the Verdy match ranks near the top when it comes to losses.
Though FC Ryukyu never really looked out of sorts in the last match, they never could find the back of the net to make a difference. Shinji’s presence on CK sand counters is noticeable as he hasn’t lost his touch nor his ability to unlock defenses. Problem was, FC Ryukyu couldn’t finish and often shots were right at the Verdy keeper.
FC Ryukyu will need to be clinical in front of goal tomorrow in order to put the pressure on Tochigi. As with last week, a win tomorrow would all but seal the deal for FC Ryukyu for staying in the J2 for 2020.
Injuries & Suspensions
FC Ryukyu: Listing none and not sure of any suspensions due to yellow card accumulation.
Tochigi SC: GK #50 Yoo Hyun, who was the starting Tochigi SC goal keeper all year, is out with a fractured tibia. He has been out of the lineup since but 2nd choice goal keeper, Shuhei Kawata has filled in admirably.
Keys to FC Ryukyu Victory
1. Defend Set Pieces. Maybe Tochigi’s only chance at besting us this weekend is from CKs and FKs.
2. Finish in front of goal. Don’t fire directly at the opposing GK, placement and power tomorrow please boys.
3. Pay attention on defense and don’t get caught flat footed on long balls over the top.
4. Exploit Tochigi SCs reserve goal keeper. He has started the last 2 matches and only surrendered 2 goals of the course of those games. Rather impressive considering he faced Tokushima and Kofu in that stretch. But, he is the backup and not the starter so he could be prone to some mistakes along the way.
Match Day Prediction
0-1 for Tochigi is possible and so is 1-0 FC Ryukyu.
Notable games in the J2 for Match Day 37
Conclusion
No time to be cute or tinker with the lineup. This is a must win game for both Tochigi SC and FC Ryukyu. Tochigi want out of the bottom 2 and FC Ryukyu want to be able to relax the remainder of the season, get some younger players into the lineup to gain some valuable match experience, and see what they have before the winter transfer window opens.
This will be no easy cake walk for either side and it will come down to some key match-ups on defense for both sides. Tochigi will look to shut down Uejo and force a narrow Ryukyu attack through the middle while looking to exploit the FC Ryukyu back line on counters and set pieces. For their part, FC Ryukyu need some creativity near the 18-yard box and to remain focused throughout the full 90 by playing total team defense.
Safe travels to all that are attending the match and lets get the job done boys.
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