Match Day Info: 04/03/2019 (H) JEF United Chiba vs FCR (A) at the Fukuda Denshi Arena Chiba Kickoff at 1900
Weather Forecast: Temperatures will be in the high 40s with no rain expected and only a slight 8-10 mph wind all match. It will be cold so dress accordingly.
The JEF Chiba United team that enters this match versus FCR is very different than the one who started the season with consecutive losses. They fired their manager after the Mito match and replaced him with Atsuhiko Ejiri who has since breathed some life back into this once proud club.
JEF United Chiba: 19th in J2 with 6 points. 1W3D2L. Current Form LLDDW
Earlier formations saw JEF in a 4-2-3-1 but Ejiri favors more of a 3-4-3 or 3-2-4-1 and is basically throwing all he can at the opponents to cover what should be considered a lackluster back line for Chiba.
The early run of fixtures for JEF this season witnessed awful play from their back line which largely put JEF at a disadvantage in these matches. There was also a lack of confidence when things didn’t seem to go their way but all that has changed with the new manager. In the short time since Ejiri has taken over at JEF, you can see a change in the style of play by JEF on the field and they are slowly beginning to regain their confidence. This is slightly worrying because in last weeks match preview I eluded to the notion that FCR was facing two opponents in a row who seemed to be in a bit of downward trajectory. I would argue now that this is not the case with JEF and FCR is going to face a very cagey opponent on the road who is playing as if there is nothing to lose.
I assume that expectations were very high for JEF and its players and so was the pressure to perform at the start of the season and you could see that in the way the team was performing. Now, they seem to be playing with a mentality of an animal backed into a corner who is forced to fight its way out of danger. They have slowly begun to regain their confidence beginning with the Mito match in Match Day 4. Despite this being the last game under the old regime, they played much better and were only done in by a very late goal. Whether it was known to the players at that time, that no matter what this was going to be the last game in charge by the out going manager or the players simply thought things couldn’t get much worse, JEF played with a real spring in their step.
JEF switched formations against Kyoto the following week by dropping a defender in exchange for another mid field player. This immediately paid dividends for JEF as it allowed them to create and take better chances on net. However, the defensive woes that plagued JEF early on still exist and allowed for Kyoto to jump out to the early lead. JEF was able to equalize late and nearly pulled it out at the end before almost conceding the victory to Kyoto in stoppage time.
JEF’s most recent match on the road versus Fukuoka saw them achieve victory for the first time all season where Ejiri once again favored a 3-person back line. JEFs attack must’ve been too much for Fukuoka who only had 2 shots and 2 corners all game. The game was a stalemate until the 80th minute when #25 Yusuke Chajima beautifully struck a free kick that went around the Fukuoka wall and stunned the keeper, who didn’t move from his spot.
Players to Watch: There is no one player that truly stands out from this team and on the season JEF has scored 6 total goals from 6 different players. The entire front line that featured in JEF’s 4th and 5th matches were dropped in favor of some players who haven’t started since match day 3. Whether the manager viewed the upcoming fixtures against FCR and Kanazawa as much stiffer tests and therefore decided to rest his players against Fukuoko, or he was having to deal with injury, I think FCR can reasonably expect a more attack minded club on Wednesday night with fresh legs.
FC Ryukyu: 1st in J2 14 points. 4W2D0L Current Form WWWDD Typical Formation 4-2-3-1
FCR once again found themselves in a tough match requiring some late game heroics by #9 Koji Suzuki to earn a point at home, keeping the undefeated streak intact, and maintain their grip on the top spot in J2.
The game was definitely there for the taking but the ball just didn’t bounce FCRs way this match. Carvajal made a costly mistake early in the second half that occurs from time to time but he recovered quite well after that to save a tie for FCR late. #14 Uejo had a wide-open opportunity on net that was blocked by a Renofa defender in the 66th minute that could have leveled the match and possibly led to things turning out differently for FCR.
FCR subbed out Tanaka, Uejo and Tomidokoro in the match in what I am assuming is a move to conserve some energy for these players with the fixtures piling up quickly this week. #13 Kawai came on in place of Tanaka and proved to be the difference maker when his well-placed cross found the head of Koji Suzuki who then equalized for FCR in the 88th minute. Carvajal was called into action one last time with a nice save in the 90th minute and the game ended in a draw.
FCR created plenty of chances in the match and it was an encouraging sign for the club moving forward. When teams challenge FCR with a heavy focus on attack, it allows space and movement for the FCR midfield and attack going forward. When teams play a more defensive minded style that overloads the midfield, FCR struggles to break out and create chances. We will see how Yasuhiro Higuchi approaches this match up and what lineup he favors on such a short week in which FCR has traveled to the mainland.
Keys to FCR Victory: 1. Pressure the back line of JEF and force them into making mistakes. The back line of JEF has seen several variations and player combinations in the early part of the season. At times they seem disorganized and lack communication with each other that has allowed opponents to get in behind for chances on net. If JEF plays with the back 3 line and 3 to 5 attacking players up front I would expect FCR to have plenty of chances on net.
2. FCR scores first. The JEF stadium is always packed with their supporters and I expect Wednesday night to be no different. As mentioned earlier, the team is slowly regaining confidence and their first win at home this season would be very uplifting for the club and their supporters. An early goal or more importantly, the first goal of the game, by FCR could help in several ways. It could quiet the JEF crowd and then make them grow restless with their squad, it may induce a sense of urgency on part of JEF to equalize quickly thus opening them up for quick counters by FCR and finally, it could calm the FCR nerves on the road in a tough atmosphere. Playing with a lead on the road is a lot easier than playing from behind and will certainly help relax the team.
3. Continue the attacking ways for FCR. Our best defense is our offense. We need whoever is occupying the CAM role to start forward thrusts at the JEF defense. Suzuki showed that he can finish if he is provided service while making runs into the box and the FCR FWD will require plenty of service in this match. FCR needs to create as many opportunities as they can with their attacking Mid Fielders and Striker as the weakest link the JEF team is the back line.
Match Prediction: Well as I stated in the Renofa Match Recap, if you can predict the lineup with better accuracy than me, I’ll make a charitable donation to an organization of your choosing in your name. There is one caveat, all submissions must be posted to this blog prior to 11 am Wednesday morning.
My predicted Lineup:
GK: Carvajal
LB/RB: Tokumoto & Jumpei Arai
CB: Koji Fukui & Shogo Nishikawa
CDM: Uesato & Komatsu
LMF: Ochi
RMF: Kawai
CAM: Uejo
FWD: Wada
Reserves: Ishii, Suzuki, Nishioka, Okazaki, Tanaka, Tomidokoro, Kazama
Well I am looking forward to mid-week football for FCR, granted it isn’t the Asian Champions League, but one day it will be. Please tune into DAZN if you subscribe or head somewhere to watch this match. I believe it will be a very pacey, end to end match, with opportunities by both sides that hopefully sees FCR emerge victorious. This match also has special meaning to me because it was one year ago that my son was born on April 3rd and I hope that adds a bit of luck for FCR, after all, he was born in the year they won J3 League!
Photo credit goes to @pipu_ryukyu: ヤマキタ@FC琉球専用アカウント
ryukyuarmy.com 